The record
Every pick we've posted
Nothing deleted, nothing edited after posting. 24 picks, 6 pending.
Record8-10Wins, losses, pushes.
Units-5.0uGraded from final scores.
Return-19.0%On units risked.
CLV above the vig+0.47%Against the no-vig close. Beat it on 35.2% of picks.
Building the sample: 17 of 50 closing prices
CLV above the vig +0.47% · beat the closing line 35.2% · 17 of 24 picks have a closing price
Return by CLV
CLV above the vig measures our price against the no-vig closing price: a blend of the sharpest books' no-vig prices when they post, otherwise the median of four or more books. If the edge is real, the picks that beat the close by more should return more over time. Return is on units risked; pushes are not risked.
Return by CLV shows once 20 graded picks have a closing price: 16 so far.
| Posted | Pick | Price | Stake | Result | CLV | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Seattle Seahawks -3San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks | -110DraftKings | 1u | L -1.00u | -6.73% | San Francisco 49ers 32, Seattle Seahawks 29 |
| 2026-10-09 | Virginia CavaliersSyracuse Orange @ Virginia Cavaliers | -323BetMGM | 2.5u | W +0.78u | +9.97% | Syracuse Orange 25, Virginia Cavaliers 28 |
| 2026-10-07 | Houston TexansHouston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | -312betPARX | 3u | W +0.96u | -2.17% | Houston Texans 26, Tennessee Titans 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | New Mexico State AggiesNew Mexico State Aggies @ Florida International Panthers | +225theScore Bet | 0.5u | L -0.50u | -5.91% | New Mexico State Aggies 3, Florida International Panthers 22 |
| 2026-10-07 | Florida GatorsSouth Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators | -417Hard Rock Bet | 3u | L -3.00u | -0.35% | South Carolina Gamecocks 38, Florida Gators 19 |
| 2026-10-07 | Seattle SeahawksSan Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks | -154DraftKings | 1u | L -1.00u | -2.16% | San Francisco 49ers 32, Seattle Seahawks 29 |
| 2026-10-07 | Pittsburgh SteelersIndianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers | -133FanDuel | 1u | W +0.75u | +3.83% | Indianapolis Colts 22, Pittsburgh Steelers 34 |
| 2026-10-06 | Green Bay PackersChicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers | +145theScore Bet | 1u | W +1.45u | +18.95% | Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 31 |
| 2026-10-06 | Pittsburgh Panthers -3.5North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers | +100theScore Bet | 1.5u | L -1.50u | -1.56% | North Carolina Tar Heels 21, Pittsburgh Panthers 17 |
| 2026-10-06 | Over 58.5South Alabama Jaguars @ Arkansas State Red Wolves | +100theScore Bet | 1u | W +1.00u | South Alabama Jaguars 56, Arkansas State Red Wolves 49 | |
| 2026-10-06 | Penn State Nittany Lions -1.5USC Trojans @ Penn State Nittany Lions | +100theScore Bet | 1u | L -1.00u | -3.66% | USC Trojans 31, Penn State Nittany Lions 23 |
| 2026-10-06 | Over 41.5Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies | +100theScore Bet | 1u | W +1.00u | +0.70% | Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Washington Huskies 24 |
| 2026-10-06 | Alabama Crimson TideGeorgia Bulldogs @ Alabama Crimson Tide | -110theScore Bet | 1u | L -1.00u | +4.31% | Georgia Bulldogs 20, Alabama Crimson Tide 17 |
| 2026-10-05 | UAB BlazersUAB Blazers @ Memphis Tigers | +600Bally Bet | 0.5u | L -0.50u | -0.81% | UAB Blazers 13, Memphis Tigers 38 |
| 2026-10-05 | Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -227theScore Bet | 3u | L -3.00u | -5.45% | Duke Blue Devils 25, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 28 |
| 2026-10-05 | Air Force FalconsAir Force Falcons @ Northern Illinois Huskies | -278theScore Bet | 3u | W +1.08u | -1.52% | Air Force Falcons 28, Northern Illinois Huskies 7 |
| 2026-10-05 | Sacramento State HornetsSacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons | +275betPARX | 0.5u | L -0.50u | -5.69% | Sacramento State Hornets 10, Bowling Green Falcons 38 |
| 2026-10-05 | Over 49.5Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Troy Trojans | -105Hard Rock Bet | 1u | W +0.95u | Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles 34, Troy Trojans 55 |